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NFLX - Netflix

Industry: CATV Systems Sector: Services Exchange: NASDAQ

NFLX - Netflix

Industry: CATV Systems Sector: Services Exchange: NASDAQ

Fri 16'th Feb 2018

PERIOD 2017-11-17 - 2018-02-16
CHANGE -0.62%
PRICE $278.52






Netflix Stock Analysis

Technical stock analysis for Fri 16'th Feb 2018

Shorts 2.07% ( 2018-01-31 )
Cash 8 075.4 mill
Loans n/a
Beta 1.02
ROA 3.24
Buy candidate since 2018-02-12 Gain 7.97%

Netflix fell by -0.62% in the last day from $280.27 to $278.52 The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 4.15% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell in the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. In the last day the trading volume fell by -2.44 million shares and in total 8.22 million shares bought and sold for approximately $2 290.36 million.

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Netflix lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 48.55% during the next 3 months and, with 90% probability hold a price between $382.40 and $457.04 at the end of this period.

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Netflix holds buy signals from both short- and long-term moving averages. In addition, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down there will be some support from the lines at $262.89 and $240.98. A break down below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sales signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday February 15, 2018, which indicates further falls until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

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Relative Strength Index (RSI)

RSI14 is 47 and the stock is currently not being overbought or oversold

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Support & Resistance

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $261.28 and $250.29. On the upside the stock meets some resistance just above today's level from accumulated volume at $278.80, $280.27 and $284.59.

There is natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Netflix finds support just below today's level at $261.28. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $250.29 and $249.18. The stock is about to test the resistance from accumulated volume at $278.80 and this may cause the stock to take a minor break or get into a more sideways move for a few days.

Support: $261.28 Price: $278.52 Resistance: $278.80


This stock may move much during a day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $6.27 between high and low, or 2.27%. For the last week, the stock has had a daily average volatility of 3.49%.

Our recommended stoploss: $264.55 (-5.02%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from pivot top found 1 days ago.)

Overall risk:

Very Low Low Medium High Very High


Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for this stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our recommendation for this stock since last evaluation from a Strong Buy Candidate to a Buy Candidate.

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